How Media Coverage Affects Election Polling

Let & # 39 S, TALK ABOUT CONNECTIONS BETWEEN CAMPAIGN COVERAGE AND CAMPAIGN PERFORMANCE, BECAUSE THERE IS A LINK –, ALTHOUGH IT MIGHT BE COMPLICATED — BETWEEN HOW MUCH COVERAGE VARIOUS CANDIDATES GET HOW THEY DO IN THE POLLS.. This AFFECTS REPUBLICANS. — TRUMP HAS BEEN GETTING A LOT OF COVERAGE –, BUT ALSO DEMOCRATS AS WELL.. Hillary CLINTON IS GETTING MUCH MORE COVERAGE THAN BERNIE SANDERS THAT MIGHT BE AFFECTING SANDERS AS WELL.. Thankfully, STEVE O SENT ME AN INTERESTING STORY IN THE WASHINGTON POST, WHERE THEY DID MEDIA ANALYSIS OF THE AMOUNT OF COVERAGE DIFFERENT CANDIDATES WERE GETTING SO I WILL DO A BRIEF OVERVIEW OF THAT.. The CLINTON CAMPAIGN HAS RECEIVED A GOOD DEAL OF COVERAGE, GARNERING 82 MINUTES IN NETWORK NEWS TIME. THAT ACTUALLY DOES NOT SOUND LIKE A LOT.. That IS SECOND ONLY TO TRUMP A STAGGERING 145 MINUTES AND WELL AHEAD OF THE NEXT MOST COVERED CANDIDATE JEB BUSH AT 43 MINUTES.. It IS NEARLY OCTOBER. THAT IS NOT A LOT OF TIME.. This IS THE NETWORK NEWS A LOT LESS TOTAL TIME FOR POLITICS THAN IF THEY INCLUDED ALL OF THE CABLE NEWS SHOWS. THEY SHOULD BE DEVOTING MOST OF THEIR TIME TO COVERING THE CAMPAIGN. It IS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE., NOT THE ONLY ISSUE, BUT I WOULD SAY — A COUPLE MINUTES A NIGHT.. They SHOULD BE SPENDING SIX OR SEVEN MINUTES A NIGHT, A MINIMUM OF 35 MINUTES A WEEK.. There HAVE BEEN WHAT 40 WEEKS THIS YEAR 38 WEEKS, I CAN & # 39 T DO THAT MATH, BUT THAT IS MANY MORE HOURS THAN THE HOUR AND 22 MINUTES THAT HILLARY HAS HAD.. As FOR SANDERS, — ALL OF HILLARY & # 39 S COVERAGE. Almost ALL OF IT HAS BEEN NEGATIVE ABOUT AN ISSUE. No ONE CAN EXPLAIN.. There WAS A BREAKDOWN THEY SHOWED ABOUT HOW MUCH COVERAGE HER CAMPAIGN HAS GOTTEN AND HOW MUCH THE EMAIL CONTROVERSY HAS HAD, AND THERE ARE NETWORKS THAT HAVE DONE MORE MINUTES ON THE EMAIL SCANDAL THAN HER ACTUAL CAMPAIGN, WHICH SEEMS RIDICULOUS.. We HAVE TRIED TO LIMIT OUR COVERAGE OF IT.. It IS A TOUGH STORY FOR HER, EVEN THOUGH IT FITS WITH THE PRECONCEIVED NOTION OF HER. Even THOUGH WE DON & # 39 T KNOW WHAT THE STORY IS, AND THERE IS NOTHING THERE. MAYBE SOMEDAY THERE WILL BE. But RIGHT NOW YOU CAN & # 39 T EVEN DESCRIBE WHAT IT IS. HER ANSWER ON IT, WHICH WAS CONDESCENDING, WHICH WAS SUGGESTING I & # 39 M. Sorry, IF YOU GUYS DON & # 39, T UNDERSTAND IT –, BUT THE FACT IS WE DON & # 39 T. NOBODY DOES., BUT IT DOVETAILS NICELY WITH A SECRET –, SECRETIVE POWER-HUNGRY. THINKS THE RULES. Don & # 39 T APPLY TO HER.. It SAYS SO MUCH ABOUT HER., I DON & # 39 T KNOW WHAT AND NOBODY ELSE DOES, BUT IT SAYS A LOT ABOUT HER., LET & # 39 S TURN TO SANDERS.. His CAMPAIGN HAS BARELY EVEN REGISTERED IN THE BROADCAST TV NEWS THIS YEAR, GENERATING JUST EIGHT MINUTES OF COVERAGE.. It IS NEARLY OCTOBER. EIGHT MINUTES., LIKE A WHATABURGER OPENING IN A PLACE THAT DOESN & # 39 T, HAVE IT GETS EIGHT MINUTES. BY COMPARISON. Mitt ROMNEY & # 39 S DECISION LAST WINTER, TO NOT RUN FOR PRESIDENT GENERATED AS MUCH COVERAGE AS SANDERS & # 39 ENTIRE 2015 CAMPAIGN, WHICH HAS BEEN CRISSCROSSING THE COUNTRY FOR MONTHS., AND, I WILL ADD, HE HAS BEEN ADDRESSING GIANT CROWDS.. You GET MORE INFORMATION OUT OF A 30 SECOND SOUND BITE FROM SANDERS, THEN OUT OF TRUMP & # 39 S, COLLECTIVE WORKS AND IT DOESN & # 39 T GENERATE AS MUCH COVERAGE.. There WAS A HUGE PRAYER MEETING FOR BERNIE SANDERS IN LIMA, PERU. I UNDERSTAND. HE SPOKE AT LIBERTY UNIVERSITY AND IN THE PAST 24 HOURS HE HAS BEEN TALKING ABOUT HOW WE HAVE THIS IDEA THAT ONLY PRIVATE CORPORATIONS ARE SORT OF, I GUESS, EMPLOYING PEOPLE AT ALMOST UNLIVABLE WAGES. MCDONALD & # 39. S IS A GREAT EXAMPLE. People LOVE TO ATTACK THAT, BUT THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT HAS MORE WORKERS WHO ARE BASICALLY WORKING AT UNLIVABLE WAGES, BUT YOU WON & # 39 T, SEE A LOT OF COVERAGE ABOUT THAT.. I ALMOST DOZED OUT. I WAS HUNGRY AND I WAS GOING TO EAT AT MCDONALD & # 39 S, BUT I DECIDED NOT TO.. https://privatephotoviewer.com/instagram-downloader/ , MY OWN HEALTH THAN I WILL NOT CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THIS THING.. So I WENT TO THIS PLACE CALLED TRUE FOOD KITCHEN. I WAS OUT IN EL SEGUNDO. I WAS ON A STREET CALLED ISIS AVENUE IN EL SEGUNDO.. They ARE STICKING WITH IT. Unfortunately NAMED. I SPENT $ 25 EATING LUNCH.. I KEPT THINKING THAT WAS GOOD. I ATE BETTER., I HAD EDAMAME DUMPLINGS., BUT THE FLIPSIDE IS. I ONLY WOULD HAVE SPENT FIVE DOLLARS AT MCDONALD & # 39 S.. You HAVE TO WORK A LITTLE BIT.. I FEEL BAD WHEN I SPEND MONEY THERE, BUT ONLY A DOLLAR BAD FOR THE CHICKEN SANDWICH, WHICH IS DELICIOUS.. Let & # 39 S. Compare SANDERS TO NOT THE FRONT RUNNERS, I SUPPOSE, BUT PEOPLE WHO ARE NOT EVEN DOING AS WELL AS HE IS COMPARATIVELY. SANDERS COVERAGE IS DWARFED BY BUSH & # 39 S, WHICH DOESN & # 39 T MAKE A LOT OF SENSE.. According TO THE POLLS. Sanders IS RUNNING STRONG IN IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE, BEATING CLINTON IN THOSE TWO STATES AND POLLING APPROXIMATELY 25 % NATIONALLY.. By CONTRAST, BUSH IS POLLING POORLY IN IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE AND IS POLLING NATIONALLY, AROUND 10 %. In FACT, BERNIE SANDERS HAS GOTTEN AS MUCH COVERAGE AS CHRIS CHRISTIE, WHO IS POLLING AT SOMETHING LIKE 3 % AND IS IN 27TH PLACE IN THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY.. That IS HOW MUCH COVERAGE HE & # 39 S, GETTING WHEN HE IS BEATING HILLARY IN THE MOST RELEVANT EARLY PRIMARY STATES. HAS BERNIE SANDERS RECEIVED AS MUCH COVERAGE AS HE SHOULD. Although I DON & # 39 T KNOW WHO IS SETTING THE BAR ON, SHOULD I GUESS HE IS NOT., BUT THOSE ARE UNFAIR COMPARISONS BECAUSE, BY THE SAME TOKEN, MANY OF THOSE WRITERS FOR MEDIA MATTERS AN ORGANIZATION I OBVIOUSLY LIKE A LOT, BUT WHEN IT SUITS THEM, They WILL TALK ABOUT HOW IRRELEVANT EARLY POLLING, IS. JEB BUSH IS THE BROTHER AND SON OF A PRESIDENT AND THE GOVERNOR OF FLORIDA AND IS BY FAR THE MOST ENDORSED ESTABLISHMENT CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT.. Obviously HE WILL GET THE COVERAGE. AND HE SHOULD BE COVERED BECAUSE IT IS NOT JUST POLL NUMBERS., THERE IS –, WE HAVE WAYS OF DETERMINING WHO IS LIKELY TO BE THE NOMINEE.. This MAY BE A DIFFERENT YEAR. ON ONE SIDE, IF NOT BOTH., BUT UNTIL IT HAPPENS, THAT OLD METHOD OF WHO HAS THE ESTABLISHMENT, ENDORSEMENTS, — AND THE MONEY.. That IS USUALLY A TELLTALE SIGN. THAT USUALLY WINS, AND THAT IS WHY THOSE WHO WRITE JEB BUSH OFF IT IS FUN TO WRITE HIM OFF I ENJOY IT. I THINK I HAVE BOTH PREDICTED HIM TO WIN THE NOMINATION AND I HAVE WRITTEN HIM OFF WITHIN 24 HOURS.. I WILL GO BACK AND FORTH TO WHATEVER SUITS ME., AND I FORGET WHAT I JUST SAID.. Obviously JEB BUSH HAS A REALLY GOOD CHANCE TO BE THE NOMINEE.. I DON & # 39 T KNOW WHETHER IT IS 50 20, BUT IT IS A CHANCE THAT NEEDS TO BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY.. I WOULD SAY AGAIN — NOT AGAIN FOR THE FIRST TIME EVER, I AGREE WITH YOU. I THINK POLLS ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT THING. People WILL DROP OUT. We REMEMBER FROM THE LAST FEW CYCLES THAT PEOPLE SHOOT UP AND GO DOWN AGAIN, BUT BERNIE SANDERS. — CLINTON IS GETTING ALL THIS COVERAGE WHERE SHE HAS RECENTLY STARTED TO TALK ABOUT BLACK LIVES MATTER AND SHE TALKED ABOUT HER PRESCRIPTION DRUG PLANS GOING FORWARD. So SHE IS GIVING SOME DETAILS, BUT SHE WAS GETTING MORE COVERAGE THAN SANDERS FOR MONTHS. Even THOUGH SANDERS IS GIVING SPECIFIC SOLUTIONS TO BASICALLY EVERY PROBLEM THAT THIS COUNTRY IS FACING, THAT A POLITICIAN CAN POSSIBLY IMPROVE UPON., YOU JUST HAVE TO LISTEN TO HIS SPEECH., BUT THEY ARE NOT AS INTERESTED IN THAT.. They WILL COVER DONALD TRUMP & # 39 S SPEECH IN FULL, EXCEPT FOR THE ONE CNN PERSON WHO CUT OUT EARLY, EVEN THOUGH HE HAS NOT YET GIVEN — ASIDE FROM HIS TAX PLAN, WHICH IS A DISASTER –, ANY IDEA OF WHAT HE WOULD DO.. So I THINK THAT IF REPORTERS –, IF THEY WANT MORE SUBSTANCE OUT OF CANDIDATES, THEY SHOULD INCENTIVIZE BY GIVING THE COVERAGE WHEN THE SUBSTANCE IS THERE., IT IS NOT JUST THE PRESS.. We ALWAYS LUMP THIS ON THE PRESS. It IS THE POLITICAL ESTABLISHMENT. BERNIE SANDERS HAS AMONG ESTABLISHMENT ENDORSEMENTS AND THE ESTABLISHMENT MATTERS THAT IS WHO HAS THROUGHOUT TIME MADE THE NOMINEE BERNIE SANDERS. Has THIS MANY ESTABLISHMENT, ENDORSEMENTS. NONE., UNLESS HE PICKED ONE UP IN THE LAST 10 DAYS, THAT I MISSED. HE IS NOT GOING TO BE COVERED.. Part OF HIS THING IS THAT HE DOES NOT GET COVERED. IF HE WERE GETTING COVERED AS SERIOUSLY AS THOSE WHO SEE A CONSPIRACY HERE WOULD WANT, THEN HE WOULD HAVE BEEN A DIFFERENT SENATOR WHEN HE WAS THERE.. He WOULDN & # 39 T, BE BERNIE SANDERS. This SORT OF RABBLE-ROUSER. – BUT HE HAS NEVER BEEN THIS RECOGNIZED NATIONALLY FOR HIS IDEAS.. He & # 39 S, ALWAYS BEEN THERE WITH THE SAME IDEAS A LITTLE CHANGE OVER TIME, BUT NOW HE IS SHOWING — FINE. Don & # 39 T COVER HIM. Specifically. SHOW THE CROWDS COVER THE FACT THAT THIS IS SHOWING A LOT OF INTEREST.. We HAVE ENTERED NOVEMBER. We ARE A YEAR AWAY FROM THE GENERAL ELECTION AND HE IS WINNING IN THE FIRST TWO BIG STATES. THIS LAST MONTH. The TIME HAS COME TO COVER BERNIE SANDERS.. I AGREE NOW. OKAY, I WILL START.. We WILL BEGIN NOW WITH COVERAGE OF BERNIE SANDERS. VERMONT INDEPENDENT SENATOR BERNIE SANDERS ANNOUNCED HIS CANDIDACY. BERNIE, WHO BERNIE SANDERS. He IS CHALLENGING HILLARY CLINTON.. That IS A BOLD, ALMOST INSULTING DECISION FROM BERNIE SANDERS.. I WILL STEAL THIS LINE. I FEEL LIKE I WAS ON THE CUSP OF THIS LINE, BUT IT IS NOT MINE, BUT IT IS SO SIMPLE AND SO GOOD THEY WERE PLAYING CLIPS OF BERNIE SANDERS ON HOWARD STERN TODAY AND HOWARD WAS LIKE WHAT IS HILLARY CLINTON THINKING AT THIS POINT HOLD ON. I WAS GOING TO BE THE NOMINEE IN 2008 AND I LOST TO A BLACK GUY. AND NOW YOU ARE TELLING ME I AM GOING TO LOSE TO A COMMUNIST JEW. What HAS HAPPENED? I DON & # 39 T WATCH ENOUGH HOWARD.. He IS ON THE RADIO. So YOU LISTEN TO HIM.. That MIGHT BE YOUR FIRST PROBLEM. THAT MIGHT GET ME. TWO MORE QUICK PARTS. I WANT TO TALK ABOUT. ONE IS I LOVE THE WASHINGTON POST POINTS OUT. They SHOW TWO HEADLINES THAT SUPPOSEDLY REPRESENT THE COVERAGE OF BERNIE SANDERS. BERNIE SANDERS HAS A SUPREME COURT LITMUS TESTS. — MONTHS GO BY, HE RISES IN THE POLLS. — BERNIE SANDERS SUPREME COURT LITMUS TEST OVERTURN CITIZENS UNITED. ONE WAS MAY ONE WAS SEPTEMBER. MONTHS GO BY AND YOU GET AN EXTRA WORD PER MONTH., BUT IF HE IS NOT GETTING COVERED, IT BEHOOVES YOU TO REPEAT THE STORIES.. Nobody PAID ATTENTION TO THAT. The FIRST TIME. THAT IS BETTER THAN NOTHING. BY THE WAY, IT IS AN INTERESTING STORY THAT WAS SELECTED THERE. AND I LIKE THE LITMUS TEST.. He IS ACTUALLY MY FAVORITE REPORTER NOW. AND, TO SOME EXTENT I FIGURE THAT THE REPORTER — AND THE ARTICLE WAS CAREFUL TO SAY — I DON & # 39 T MEAN TO PICK ON THIS GUY.. He SAID I RAN A STORY IN MAY AND NOBODY PAID ATTENTION TO IT. Then.. We BEMOAN LITMUS TESTS INEXPLICABLY. Why MIKE HUCKABEE & # 39 S, YOU HAVE TO BE 100 % ANTI-ABORTION LITMUS TEST. AND HUCKABEE COULD GET THAT LITMUS TEST. AND THE SENATE COULD REJECT IT. That IS HOW THAT WORKS, AND THEY SHOULD. THEY SHOULD NOT –. No ONE SHOULD THINK THE PRESIDENT SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO MAKE HIS CHOICE WITHOUT –. You COULD VOTE AGAINST IT.. I DON & # 39 T KNOW THAT YOU CAN FILIBUSTER IT. That SEEMS NOT THE RIGHT THING TO DO., BUT YEAH A LITMUS TEST. –. Can YOU DO THAT ANYMORE? Can YOU FILIBUSTER THE SUPREME COURT NOMINEES? I THOUGHT THEY GOT RID OF THAT.. We WILL LOOK INTO IT.. I THINK YOU STILL CAN. I THINK THEY DID NOT GIVE THAT AWAY. PROBABLY CAME CLOSE. ONE OTHER THING I WANT TO TALK ABOUT.. We ARE NOT JUST SPECULATING MOSTLY, BUT NOT JUST SPECULATING ABOUT THE POTENTIAL INFLUENCE THAT HAVING MORE COVERAGE OF ONE CANDIDATE OR LESS COVERAGE OF ANOTHER COULD ACTUALLY MATTER IN TERMS OF THEIR CHANCES IN THIS PRIMARY.. If WE GO TO GRAPHIC 4, YOU WILL SEE A CHART THAT WAS PUT TOGETHER, I BELIEVE BY VOX –, NO, THE WASHINGTON POST.. You WILL SEE THIS CHART SHOWING THE SHARE OF NEWS COVERAGE IN NATIONAL POLLING NUMBERS. The LINE IS THE AMOUNT OF COVERAGE IN THE NEWS. The DOTS ARE THE POLLS.. If WE COULD JUMP TO THE NEXT ONE, WE WILL SEE A SMOOTHING OUT OF THOSE.. This SEEMS TO SHOW A VERY CLOSE CONNECTION BETWEEN NEWS COVERAGE AND POLLS, AND THERE IS ALMOST CERTAINLY SOME RELATIONSHIP.. It MIGHT EVEN BE A STRONG RELATIONSHIP., BUT IT IS ALSO ENTIRELY POSSIBLE THAT IT IS NOT THAT THE COVERAGE IS PURELY GENERATING THE POLLS. It COULD BE THAT OBJECTIVE THINGS OUT. There ARE CAUSING BOTH MORE COVERAGE AND A HIGHER STANDING IN THE POLLS., BUT IT IS INTERESTING AND MAKES ONE WONDER IF BERNIE SANDERS HAD GOTTEN AS MUCH COVERAGE AS NOT EVEN CLINTON, BUT CLINTON & # 39 S. Email SCANDAL HAD GOTTEN OVER THE LAST SIX MONTHS. Would HE BE NECK AND NECK WITH HER ONLY DOWN FIVE, HE ALMOST CERTAINLY WOULD BE DOING BETTER.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *